OpenAI’s next-generation o3 model will arrive early next year

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After nearly two weeks of announcements, OpenAI capped off its 12 Days of OpenAI livestream series with a preview of its next-generation frontier model. “Out of respect for friends at Telefónica (owner of the O2 cellular network), and in the grand tradition of OpenAI being really, truly bad at names, it’s called o3,” OpenAI CEO Sam Altman told those watching the announcement on YouTube.

The new model isn’t ready for public use just yet. Instead, OpenAI is first making o3 available to researchers who want help with safety testing. OpenAI also announced the existence of o3 mini. Altman said the company plans to launch that model “around the end of January,” with o3 following “shortly after that.”

As you might expect, o3 offers improved performance over its predecessor, but just how much better it is than o1 is the headline feature here. For example, when put through this year’s American Invitational Mathematics Examination, o3 achieved an accuracy score of 96.7 percent. By contrast, o1 earned a more modest 83.3 percent rating. “What this signifies is that o3 often misses just one question,” said Mark Chen, senior vice president of research at OpenAI. In fact, o3 did so well on the usual suite of benchmarks OpenAI puts its models through that the company had to find more challenging tests to test it against.

One of those is ARC-AGI, a benchmark that tests an AI algorithm’s ability to intuite and learn on the spot. According to the test’s creator, the non-profit ARC Prize, an AI system that could successfully beat ARC-AGI would represent “an important milestone toward artificial general intelligence.” Since its debut in 2019, no AI model has beaten ARC-AGI. The test consists of input-output questions that most people can figure out intuitively. For instance, in the example below, the correct answer would be to create squares out of four Tetris shapes using dark blue blocks.

An ARC AGI test.An ARC AGI test.

ARC AGI

On its low-compute setting, o3 scored 75.7 percent on the test. With additional processing power, the model achieved a rating of 87.5 percent. “Human performance is comparable at 85 percent threshold, so being above this is a major milestone,” according to Greg Kamradt, president of ARC Prize Foundation.

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